Friday, August 27, 2010

Take Away From Q2 GDP

  • GDP Is A Backward Indicator
  • GDP Was Revised Down -0.8 To 1.6
  • Was Better Then 1.4 Being Forecast
  • Keep In Mind In Q2 Housing Was Still Doing Well, Not The Case In Q3
  • Consumer Was Weak But Now Is Very Weak
  • Q2 Had The Peak of Stimulus From The Government  (See Chart Below)
  • Q3 Will Be Under 1 Percent Growth Could Be Under .5
  • Clearly GDP Is Going The Wrong Way For A Recovery





*Chart From Businessinsider.com


Q3 GDP Not Looking Good
*Chart From Consumer Metrics